Memorandum

The main requirement is to appbz realist theory to answer the questions. Drawing on the class content,
class readings (Explicitly draw from class readings-make sure you cite them when you do) as well as
lectures, do the best you cant! Do NOT draw from outside sources, wiki, etc.

Write a memorandum to President Obama assessing the prospects for international peace and stability over the next
ten years; this, from a realist, or traditionalist, theoretical perspective. Your memorandum must
answer all the following questions:

(1) Start with the basic realist (traditionalist) image of the world. a. What is the natural condition of the world as
described by “realists”? b. Discuss. c. Based on this image of the world, what would a realist say about the general
prospects for world peace and security over 1the next ten years?

(2) Drawing on the model used in class to analyze seven earlier balance of power systems (What is the framework?
Assess “relative homogeneity.” Etc. Etc.) analyze in as much detail as you can the global balance of power in 2014
and project out based on trends for the next ten years. This part should explicitly draw from class readings

as well as class notes. Note: Give this part a lot of attention/apply each part of the model completely.

(3) Compare and contrast the balance of power system you have just described for 2013-2023 with at least two
previous balance of power system (1815-1854, Bismarck’s system, pre-WWI system, inter war system, post-World
War Ii system, 19505 system, 197os system, as covered in class). Point out similarities AND differences.

(4) Based on the comparison you make in #3 above, provide an assessment of the prospects for peace and
international security for the U.S during the next te_n years. (Does it look like things are heading in a more stable
direction? A less stable direction? Be specific.) Discuss.

(5) What key events and/or foreign policies might affect this future balance, either negatively or positivelyiwhat
might lead to war? -what might keep war away? Identify and briefly discuss at least three. Draw explicitly from
Nye, other readings, class notes, etc.

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